Examining Project Duration Forecasting Reliability
نویسنده
چکیده
Earned Schedule (ES) forecasting of project duration has been researched over several years. Overwhelmingly, in comparison to other EVM-based methods, ES has been affirmed to be better. However, the testing results from a study, which employed simulation techniques, indicated there were conditions in which ES performed poorly. These results create skepticism as to the reliability of ES forecasting. This paper examines that study, focusing on the unfavorable results. The analysis put forth indicates ES forecasting to be more reliable than portrayed by the study and is enhanced by the application of the longest path method.
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تاریخ انتشار 2014